(MACD) was originally constructed by Gerald Appel an analyst in
New York. Originally designed for analysis of stock trends,
it is now widely used in many markets.
MACD is constructed by making an average of the difference between
two moving averages. The difference of the original two moving averages
and the moving average of the difference can be plotted as two lines,
one fast and one slow.
Uses
Most modern charting software now includes MACD as
standard. Once selected to display in your charting software it normally
shows up as two lines plotted on an open scale against the zero line.
These two lines will normally be of different color or one line a
solid line and the other a dotted line. Frequently used settings
are 12 and 26 period exponential moving averages with 9 period exponential
moving average as the signal line.
Although there are three moving averages mentioned
you will only see two lines. The simplest method of use is when the
two lines cross. If the faster signal line crosses above the slower
line then a buy signal is generated and vice versa. It is also used
as an overbought and oversold indicator. The higher above the zero
both lines are the more overbought it becomes and the lower below
the zero line both lines are the more oversold it becomes.
It may also lead to a stronger signal if the signal
line crosses down when it is overbought and crosses up when it is
oversold. The last common use of MACD is that of divergence.
If the MACD is making new lows and the price of the
security is not making new lows that is one form of divergence (bullish
divergence). Also, if the MACD has made a high and starts to head
down but price continues up that is another type of divergence (bearish
divergence) and may lead to an indication of a change in direction.
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My Own Use Of MACD
I like to use the MACD as a trend indicator with parameters
set at 8 and 18 period exponential moving averages with a 9 period
exponential moving average as the signal line. All I am trying to
do is establish a trend in a higher time period than the one I intend
to trade.
If you were trading day charts you would be looking
at the MACD on the weekly. If you were trading an hourly chart you
might look at the MACD on the daily. As long as the signal line remains
above or below the MACD line on the next higher time frame you know
the trend is still in place.
As you can see from the chart examples of the 30 min
Cash DJIA there was a sell signal on the 9th May 02. This was my
higher time frame as I was trading intraday. I then went to the 5
min chart of the Cash DJIA and sold the rallies, confident to stay
short as long as my higher time period MACD trend in the 30 min stayed
intact. If the 30 min MACD signal line were to cross up I would have
closed all short positions.
30 Min Chart

5 Min Chart

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Good Trading
Mark McRae
Moving Average Convergence-Divergence
(MACD)
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